ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: We aimed to externally validate three prognostic scores for COVID-19: the 4C Mortality Score (4CM Score), the COVID-GRAM Critical Illness Risk Score (COVID-GRAM), and COVIDAnalytics. METHODS: We evaluated the scores in a retrospective study on adult patients hospitalized with severe/critical COVID-19 (1 March 2020-1 March 2021), in the Teaching Hospital of Infectious Diseases, Cluj-Napoca, Romania. We assessed all the deceased patients matched with two survivors by age, gender, and at least two comorbidities. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) were computed for in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Among 780 severe/critical COVID-19 patients, 178 (22.8%) died. We included 474 patients according to the case definition (158 deceased/316 survivors). The median age was 75 years; diabetes mellitus, malignancies, chronic pulmonary diseases, and chronic kidney and moderate/severe liver diseases were associated with higher risks of death. According to the predefined 4CM Score, the mortality rates were 0% (low), 13% (intermediate), 27% (high), and 61% (very high). The AUROC for the 4CM Score was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.67-0.77) for in-hospital mortality, close to COVID-GRAM, with slightly greater discriminatory ability for COVIDAnalytics: 0.76 (95% CI: 0.71-0.80). CONCLUSION: All the prognostic scores showed close values compared to their validation cohorts, were fairly accurate in predicting mortality, and can be used to prioritize care and resources.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess if tocilizumab (TCZ) timing is associated with improved survival. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data obtained from adult patients with moderate/severe/critical COVID-19 and treated with TCZ, who were admitted to the Teaching Hospital of Infectious Diseases, Cluj-Napoca, Romania (April 2020-April 2021), were retrospectively analyzed. The database included demographics, clinical data, computed tomography scan results, the kinetics of IL-6, laboratory variables, and the outcome until discharge. RESULTS: A total of 221 patients received dexamethasone, antivirals, anticoagulants, and 1-2 doses of TCZ, 8 mg/kg. In 2021, more patients received high-flow oxigen/non-invasive ventilation compared to those hospitalized in 2020, but demographics, in-hospital mortality, and laboratory data did not differ significantly. In-hospital mortality was associated with age, disease severity, lung damage, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, cardiovascular comorbidities, and IL-6>100 pg/mL at TCZ administration. In multivariate analysis the risk of death was significantly higher in patients with a persistent inflammatory state, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 16.6 (95% CI 3.07-108.96); lung damage>40%, aOR 11.68 (95% CI 2.05-224.98); and cardiovascular comorbidities>2, aOR 3.65 (95% CI 1.06-12.53). TCZ initiation at ≤3 days after admission showed improved survival, odds ratio (OR)=0.39 (95% CI 0.16-0.9). Severe infections were found in 11 (4.9%) patients. CONCLUSION: Early initiation of TCZ seems beneficial and safe in patients with moderate to critical COVID-19 pneumonia.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 Drug Treatment , Adult , Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized , Humans , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To assess the antibody and viral kinetics in asymptomatic/mild confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections compared to more severe patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis of data obtained from adult patients with a confirmed SARS-CoV2 infection having at least one SARS-CoV-2 pair of specific IgM/IgG tests, admitted in The University Hospital of Infectious Diseases Cluj-Napoca, Romania (28 February to 31 August 2020). The database also included: demographic, clinical, chest X-ray and/or CT scan results, RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2, and dexamethasone treatment. A total of 469 patients were evaluated as "asymptomatic/mild" and "moderate/severe/critical" cases. RESULTS: The median time since confirmation to SARS-CoV-2 PCR negativity was 15 days [95% CI: 13-18] in asymptomatic/mild cases and 17 days [95% CI: 16-21] in moderate/severe ones. The median time to seroconversion for both IgM and IgG was 13 days [95% CI: 13-14] in asymptomatic/mild cases and 11 days [95% CI: 10-13] in moderate/severe ones. For both antibody types, the highest reactivity was significantly associated with more severe presentation (IgM: OR = 10.30, IgG: OR = 7.97). CONCLUSION: Asymptomatic/mild COVID-19 cases had a faster RT-PCR negativity rate compared to moderate/severe/critical patients. IgG and IgM dynamics were almost simultaneous, more robust for IgG in more severe cases, and at one month after confirmation, almost all patients had detectable antibody titers.